Monday, May 07, 2012
photo finish, or oil painting?
White House 2012: General Election
Gallup Daily tracking poll. Based on a 5-day rolling average. N=approx. 2,200 registered voters nationwide. Margin of error ± 3.
"Suppose the presidential election were held today. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you vote for: Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican?" If unsure: "As of today, do you lean more toward Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican?" Options rotated
(As of 4/29 - 5/3/12)
How many voters will decide by flipping a coin?
How many will decide it doesn't really matter and stay home?
These polls are generally conducted among "likely voters." What percentage of us would that be, I wonder.